Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 30, 2008
Tax cuts are coming tomorrow, there is excitement in the air. First tax cut after a decade of effective tax rate increases (through fiscal drag). And what an interesting time for it, as we go through the largest financial crisis since the Great Depression.
Still don’t forget that there are tax cut calculators available [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 30, 2008
Matt McCarten was someone I enjoyed listening to when I was a young Alliance supporter many years ago – however, even in the heyday of teenage communist sympathies I would not have agreed with his conclusion that the recent credit crisis is undeniable evidence that voluntary trade does not work.
Now Kiwiblog and Anti-dismal have already [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 29, 2008
Obviously the biggest concern from this scandal should be the loss of life associated with it. However, the next biggest issue from a New Zealand standpoint is the potential loss of income associated with the damage to the “New Zealand brand”.
Now if Fonterra was taking into account the risk and return associated with their [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 29, 2008
Congratulations to the Phoenix for their first win of the regular season (ht Yellow Fever). I should have been there, but I am currently far too swamped with work.
For those that are complaining about the lackluster crowds I have to say – why the hell are the games on Sunday night? Even if [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 29, 2008
A popular explanation of the booming in house prices according to, well, everyone is that there was lots of “credit washing around” which convinced people that they should go and bid up house prices. An example of this logic is shown in this statement at the very good Big Picture blog:
The bubble in home [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 27, 2008
Econbrowser has a great post which takes this post by Brad Delong and adds some historical background.
The post mentions that policy action will aim to prevent the mistakes of 1929, the 1970’s, and Japan in the early 1990s – behind the slight humor this is actually a very important comparison.
One thing I would like to [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 26, 2008
Congratulations New Zealand – once again, leading the world in terms of an economic downturn. The 0.2% fall in production GDP in June puts us in a technical recession!
Given how trade exposed we are I would assume that we would lag the rest of the world – but mother nature came in, provided us [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 26, 2008
According to a recent post on Frog Blog it would appear so.
As well as randomly comparing the current crisis to the methodologically flawed “shock doctrine”, frog states that NZ MUST:
invest in rebuilding our local communities so that they are economically independent and self sustainable
This would surely only be the best thing to do if you [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 25, 2008
Capital inflows are the reverse side of the current account deficits that we like to discuss on this blog (most recently here). For some reason a capital account surplus is often seen as a good thing by journalists while a current account deficit is seen as a bad thing (ht Bluematter). This does [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 25, 2008
It appears that many people fear a contraction in the economy – and are determined to bring to justice any factors that could lead to such a situation.
As of late, one such factor was the “credit crisis”, which has lead to a sudden freeze in lending and potentially to a contraction in economic growth in [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 24, 2008
I don’t like thinks that sound like conspiracy theories – and the title of this post does! However, I am starting to get the impression that this is one situation where it may actually be the case. Overall it stinks like socialism for the rich (good cartoon here, good article here)
Two articles from [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 24, 2008
Over at No Right Turn I/S states that we can’t simply view “free trade” as beneficial, we have to be mindful of the costs. Now this is true, as with any policy we have to look at the costs associated with change as well as the benefits before we decide what to do.
However, I [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 24, 2008
Over at Kiwiblog, David Farrar comments on outward migration from New Zealand. He concludes by stating:
Inwards migration of new New Zealanders (which is a great thing) helps keep the overall population stable, but that does not mean there isn’t a serious problem with the numbers leaving.
A similar theme was mentioned a few weeks ago [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 23, 2008
I was interested to see the Standard and No Right Turn link to a PSA advert from the latest Listener. The advert seems like a whole lot of mis-information piled right into a single page.
The criticism of the ad is quite simple – they come up with a sum and then they take away [...]
Posted by: Matt Nolan on: September 23, 2008
In an earlier post we mentioned that the US currency appears to appreciate in the face of bad news – a bad sign for economic stabilisation. After saying this, I noticed two articles up on bloomberg:
Dollar Falls on Speculation U.S. Bailout Plan to Increase Debt
Treasuries Prove Irresistible as Deflation Bet Trumps Paulson
Very interesting.
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